If the priestly classes map to technocracy then an additional factor under that heading interacting with workers in the run up to 1200 is the religiously-motivated breakup of kinship networks. It can be argued/shown that it is a significant factor of why, when, and where modern urbanization did/could emerge. Henrich and co-authors' work has centuries of granular data to demonstrate cross-cultural--not just Europe's version with the Catholic church--causal influence that ripples through to modern day (counterfactual natural experiments), creating the WEIRD psychology and culture that underpins the institutional, governmental, and technological changes in later centuries.
I would love to read predictions of 2700 AD. One piece of text I keep coming back to is Robin Hansons Age of Em. If we’re of a time, I feel like we'll eventually be able to choose that. Not in a time travel sense but in relation to bandwidth and compute. To live closer to high density information and bandwidth will visibly impact life as being close to a gravity well.
If the priestly classes map to technocracy then an additional factor under that heading interacting with workers in the run up to 1200 is the religiously-motivated breakup of kinship networks. It can be argued/shown that it is a significant factor of why, when, and where modern urbanization did/could emerge. Henrich and co-authors' work has centuries of granular data to demonstrate cross-cultural--not just Europe's version with the Catholic church--causal influence that ripples through to modern day (counterfactual natural experiments), creating the WEIRD psychology and culture that underpins the institutional, governmental, and technological changes in later centuries.
https://www.science.org/content/article/how-early-christian-church-gave-birth-today-s-weird-europeans
https://historicalpsychology.fas.harvard.edu/assets/files/bahrami-rad-2022-kin-based-institutions-and-econ.pdf
https://archive.ph/e7DJX
A second, similarly sized shift is probably the "what happened 40,000 years ago" anthropology/archeology/philosophy question.
The Eve Theory of Consciousness was a great tour of the transition, wrapped around a wild and fun theory: https://www.vectorsofmind.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3
Also, I wonder if there's predictive power in Chapman's stages of development? (Well technically Kegan's: https://vividness.live/developing-ethical-social-and-cognitive-competence#stages)
Especially if the last two shifts map well to specific steps... Exercise for the reader I guess, I'll take a look 😅
I would love to read predictions of 2700 AD. One piece of text I keep coming back to is Robin Hansons Age of Em. If we’re of a time, I feel like we'll eventually be able to choose that. Not in a time travel sense but in relation to bandwidth and compute. To live closer to high density information and bandwidth will visibly impact life as being close to a gravity well.